Tuesday, March 07, 2006
Strategy
The banker will always make an offer which is less than the optimum value left on the board, so in theory at least, you should always reject the banker's offer. But the banker's calculation is based on the probability that events will happen, so for example if there are two red amounts and three blue, then the bankers offer must take the reds into account even though they could be removed during the next round, because the likelihood of both reds being taken out is only 30%. But the individual only has one shot at the goal, so the fact that if they were in that position five times they would only lose once is of no importance - this occasion is all that matters.
So the player should not adopt the same strategy as the banker; taking the above into account, the player should really 'deal' everytime there are only three offers above the banker's offer. But then there is the human factor...
So the player should not adopt the same strategy as the banker; taking the above into account, the player should really 'deal' everytime there are only three offers above the banker's offer. But then there is the human factor...
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